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Tariffs, Tumbling Rates & Trouble Ahead? What Today’s Market Tells Us (If You’re Paying Attention)

  • Writer: KCStark
    KCStark
  • Apr 5
  • 2 min read

Hey America, you might’ve caught the headlines: Mortgage rates are dipping again—thanks (sort of) to newly announced tariffs. And while cheaper borrowing sounds great on the surface, there’s more going on under the hood.


Source: Fannie Mae, Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), National Association of Realtors (NAR), Wells Fargo. Mortgage Rates & Projections: 30-Year Fixed Rate, as of September and October 2024.
Source: Fannie Mae, Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), National Association of Realtors (NAR), Wells Fargo. Mortgage Rates & Projections: 30-Year Fixed Rate, as of September and October 2024.

For buyers, sellers, and real estate agents, this moment feels a lot like déjà vu—and history might be trying to tell us something.


Let’s break it down, in plain English.


Mortgage Rates Just Dropped—Here’s Why


So here’s what happened:


  1. After new import tariffs were announced on goods from countries like China, Mexico, and Canada, investors got nervous.

  2. Investors moved money into “safe” assets like U.S. Treasury bonds.

  3. That demand pushes yields down, which in turn drags mortgage rates down too.


As of this week:


  • 30-Year Fixed Mortgage: ~6.64%, down from 6.75%.

  • 15-Year Fixed Mortgage: ~5.82%, down slightly from 5.89%.


That’s the good news… for now.


But We’ve Been Here Before—Remember 2018?


This isn’t my first economic rodeo. Back in 2018, a similar wave of tariffs went into effect, triggering:


  • Short-term dips in mortgage rates

  • Volatility in the stock market

  • Higher prices on goods and construction materials


Sound familiar?


  1. Homebuilders got slammed with higher costs for lumber, steel, and other essentials.

  2. That drove up new home prices, slowed down construction, and squeezed both buyers and sellers.


Fast forward to today—and we’re watching the same movie all over again. Except this time, interest rates were already high, and the housing supply is tighter than ever.


What This Means for You (Right Now)


If You’re a Buyer:


  • Yes, rates are lower—take advantage.

  • But watch out: if home prices jump due to increased material costs, your window of opportunity might be small.

  • Be pre-approved and ready to move fast.


If You’re a Seller:


  • Lower rates can bring buyers back to the table, especially first-timers who’ve been sitting on the sidelines.

  • If you’ve been waiting for a better time to list, this might be it—before prices climb again due to construction inflation.


If You’re an Agent:


  • Use this rate dip to reignite conversations with your buyer leads.

  • Educate sellers about how timing the market right now could help them sell quicker—and possibly for more.


History Is a Great Teacher—If We’re Listening


This isn’t fearmongering—it’s strategy. The market’s always moving. Sometimes, it drops you a gift like lower rates. Other times, it sneaks in hidden costs, like inflated home prices or delayed construction timelines.


The smart move? Stay alert. Stay informed. And partner with people who’ve seen a cycle or two.


If you’re thinking of buying, selling, or just trying to figure out what the heck to do in this shifting market, I’m here to help. I’ve been through enough of these ups and downs to help you steer clear of the potholes.


Let’s make your next move a smart one.


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